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Tidal flooding in North Wildwood (Cape May County) on October 12th caused by a stalled nor'easter just off the coast. Photo by Greg Graham.
Tidal flooding in North Wildwood (Cape May County) on October 12th caused by a stalled nor'easter just off the coast. Photo by Greg Graham.

With the warm end of September, followed by four days in the 80°s early in October, one might have wondered when fall weather was going to arrive in New Jersey. By now, we know that by mid-month a transition to cooler weather arrived. Meanwhile, there were two notable coastal nor’easters, indicative of a transition to a cool season weather regime. Unfortunately, each resulted in notable coastal flooding and beach erosion. Yet most of NJ remains modestly to moderately dry.

Ultimately, with all the ups and downs of temperature and precipitation during this transitional month, the state averaged a bit milder and drier than normal. The statewide average temperature of 56.2° was 0.8° above the 1991–2020 mean and ranked as the 33rd mildest of the past 131 Octobers. The average high of 66.5° was 0.7° above normal, ranking 45th mildest. The average low of 45.9° was 1.0° above normal, ranking 29th mildest. The northern climate division averaged 54.6° (+1.3°, 27th mildest), the southern division 57.0° (+0.5°, 41st mildest), and the coastal division 58.7° (+1.1°, 28th mildest).

October precipitation averaged 3.79”, which was 0.40” below normal. Due to the skewed nature of the monthly precipitation time series, this ranked as the 57th wettest/75th driest. The north averaged 3.71” (-0.74”, 64th wettest/68th driest), the south 3.80” (-0.23”, 49th wettest/83rd driest), and the coast 4.23” (+0.14”, 36th wettest/96th driest). The divisional averages did not tell the story of the precipitation distribution all that well. Rather, best said that the western half of NJ was on the drier side and the east wetter.

Latest Extremes

City, State Temp
Fortescue, NJ 51
West Cape May, NJ 51
Harvey Cedars, NJ 51
Atlantic City Marina, NJ 51
Little Egg Harbor Twp., NJ 51
City, State Temp
High Point Monument, NJ 36
High Point, NJ 39
Vernon Twp., NJ 40
Wantage, NJ 41
Sandyston, NJ 42
most current information as of Nov 6 5:50 AM

Latest Conditions & Forecast

New Brunswick, NJ

Rutgers University Meteorology Program

47°F

Wind

8 mph from the W

Wind Gust

12 mph from the W

Sunny
54 °F
Partly Cloudy
32 °F
Partly Sunny
60 °F
Showers Likely
51 °F
Partly Sunny
67 °F
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain
46 °F
Rain Likely
65 °F
Chance Rain
38 °F
Partly Sunny
47 °F
Partly Cloudy
29 °F
Mostly Sunny
45 °F
Mostly Cloudy
34 °F
Partly Sunny
53 °F

Today

Sunny, with a high near 54. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. Calm wind.

Friday

Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Light southwest wind becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

Friday Night

Showers likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 51. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday

Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday Night

A slight chance of rain after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday

Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night

A chance of rain before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Monday

Partly sunny, with a high near 47.

Monday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 29.

Veterans Day

Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.

Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

Wednesday

Partly sunny, with a high near 53.

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A dry Oak Ridge Reservoir along the Sussex/Morris County border on September 15th. This part of northern NJ remains in the "Moderate Drought" category at month's end. Photo courtesy of Alex Burdi.

“Holding On.” Perhaps you’re a bit perplexed attempting to interpret the title of this month’s report. Something with respect to temperature? Certainly, the warm season hardly relinquished its grip on the Garden State during the past month. September temperatures averaged above normal, mainly due to the second half of the month being warmer than the first half. Normally the second half averages approximately 5.0°–5.5° cooler than the first, however this year’s second half was 1.0°–1.5° milder than the first half in the north and about 2° milder in the south. Something regarding...

Significant beach erosion in Beach Haven (Ocean County) following days of strong wave action caused by Hurricane Erin. Photo by Beach Haven Mayor Colleen Lambert.

August and summer 2025 weather conditions vacillated between heat with plenty of humidity to cool and quite pleasant. In the mix were also some local extreme storms with damaging impacts, while there were also some extended dry intervals. Flip flopping seems to appropriately sum up this Jersey summer in the weather department. This report first focuses on August conditions across the Garden State, then provides a summary of summer (June–August) conditions. New Jersey averaged 2.16” for August. This is 2.41” below normal, which ranks 13th driest dating back to 1895. The northern climate...

Debris and rubble in the aftermath of flash flooding that occurred on July 14th in North Plainfield (Somerset County).

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Typical Springtime Variability: May and Spring 2014 Summaries

June 7, 2014 - 1:01pm -- Dave Robinson

Flooding in Newark

May 2014 had a difficult time establishing an identity. What began with a storm that carried over from April 30th and resulted in the 7th largest flood of the past century in the Raritan basin on the 1st (see the April narrative for discussion of this event), later included some warm days, late freezes in a few locations, severe thunderstorms with hail in others, and a spectacular Memorial Day. Overall, May averaged 62.1°, which is 1.3° above average (compared to the 1981-2010 average). This ranks as the 35th warmest (tied with 1962) in the 120 years back to 1895. Precipitation averaged 5.18", which is 1.18" above average and ranks as 19th wettest. This value includes the considerable rain that fell on April 30th at National Weather Service Cooperative Stations that report during the morning hours (see April narrative for a full explanation).

Potential El Niño could impact New Jersey weather this summer

May 30, 2014 - 5:11pm -- Dan Zarrow

Map of impending El Nino

As climatological summer and the Atlantic hurricane season begin on June 1, scientists are carefully monitoring sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean for a potential El Niño event. An El Niño occurs when warmer-than-average waters start to form in the eastern Pacific Ocean, specifically near the equatorial latitudes. Easterly winds (blowing from the east) typically move warmer water to the western Pacific (near Indonesia), permitting cooler water to upwell to the surface in the east (near South America). When these winds are weaker, or if they reverse direction, the warm water stays in the eastern Pacific. This difference in sea surface temperatures and winds creates a new dynamic between the ocean and atmosphere, distinctly affecting weather patterns across the world. No two El Niño events are alike; they vary in magnitude and location of the largest temperature anomalies. El Niño events can be classified as Strong, Moderate or Weak. What might an El Niño summer mean for New Jersey's weather?

Another End-of-Month Soaker…but First Some Flames: April 2014 Summary

May 10, 2014 - 4:44pm -- Dave Robinson

Wildfire photo

Was it a drier-than-average April? Was it a wetter-than-average April? If only it hadn't rained heavily on the last day of the month! Certainly this is a strange beginning to this monthly weather narrative. Let me explain before we get to the numbers. Most National Weather Service Cooperative observers, of which there are several dozen in New Jersey, take their daily observations in the 7-8 AM time range. So does nearly every NJ CoCoRaHS observer. These observations are recorded for the calendar day at hand, thus a day's weather records are complete as of the observation time. This means that any precipitation that occurs after the daily observation gets recorded the next morning (day). This is something that must be understood when evaluating daily precipitation reports, however, it does not make any difference in monthly totals except on the first and last day of the month. One of these exceptions occurred, in a big way, in April…or was it May?! Torrential rain fell during the daylight hours into the evening of April 30, part of an event that began lightly during the daylight hours of the 29th and ended just after observation time on the morning of May 1st (yes, meaning May 2 observations also were involved in storm totals). What up until then had been a somewhat dry April suddenly became a wet month…if you waited until midnight to take your observations. And believe it or not, some COOP stations do have observations taken at midnight. Confused? Can't blame you…

Heavy rain and flooding plague NJ residents

May 1, 2014 - 6:20pm -- Mathieu Gerbush

Flooding photo

Copious moisture streaming across a slowly advancing warm front resulted in a period of heavy rain across the Garden State, with most of the rainfall occurring on April 30th. The entirety of NJ north of Cape May County was deluged with more than 2.00" of rain, with a large area of greater than 4.00" totals extending from southwest to northeast along the entire span of the state. In particular, the area from western Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Burlington and Monmouth counties north up to roughly I-80 were socked with 4.00"-5.00", with some localized pockets of greater than 5.00". CoCoRaHS stations in Robbinsville Twp (Mercer County) and Matawan (Monmouth) reported the highest totals in the state, with 6.02" and 5.59", respectively. Stations in Medford Twp (Burlington County; 5.44"), New Brunswick (Middlesex; 5.39"), Westfield (Union; 5.32"), and Maplewood Twp (Essex; 5.25") also measured among the heaviest totals in NJ. On the low side, stations in Cape May County such as West Cape May (0.90"), Middle Twp (1.05"), Dennis Twp (1.27"), and Wildwood Crest (1.29") missed out on the heaviest rain.

Amid dry and windy conditions, wildfires rip through portions of South Jersey

April 24, 2014 - 2:07pm -- Adam Rainear

Wildfire photo

April showers typically bring May flowers, but when they fail to arrive in abundance and bundled with low humidity and gusty winds, wildfires become a major risk.

Just such a scenario unfolded across New Jersey experienced on Thursday April 24. Low dew points, combined with winds gusting over 30 mph, prompted the National Weather Service to issue Red Flag warnings across nearly all of the state both Wednesday and Thursday. Such warnings indicate a high risk for wildfires in wooded areas and grasslands. Unfortunately, fires did erupt in scattered locations around the state, with several large wildfires in Ocean and Cumberland counties.

Relentless Winter: February 2014 Summary and Winter 2013/14 Summary

March 4, 2014 - 12:00am -- Dave Robinson

Snow Cover Map

One of the more disruptive winters in recent decades continued during February, erasing the hopes of many for an early spring. Averaged across New Jersey, the monthly temperature of 29.5° was 4.3° below normal. This made for the 35th coldest February over the past 120 years and the coldest since 2007. Temperatures ranged from a low of -18° at Walpack in snow covered Sussex County valley on the 11th and 12th to a high of 67° at several southern locations on the 21st. The statewide average precipitation of 5.26" made for the 20th wettest February on record. This includes both rainfall and the liquid equivalent of frozen precipitation, and is 2.40" above normal. Snowfall averaged 21.9" across the state, which is 13.9" above normal and ranks as the 7th snowiest of the past 120 Februaries.

Cold and Snow: January 2014 Summary

February 1, 2014 - 12:00am -- Dave Robinson

Sea smoke photo

The year began where 2013 left off, with the jet stream in an amplified, progressive pattern that resulted in frequent, pronounced fluctuations in temperature and multiple precipitation events. By late month, the pattern slowed, but remained amplified, locking NJ into over a week of bitter cold conditions. The statewide average temperature for January was 26.1°, which is 5.1° below the 1981-2010 average and ranks as the 17th coldest since 1895 (120 years). It was the coldest January since 2004. Precipitation in the form of rain, freezing rain, and melted snowfall averaged 3.09". This is 0.39" below normal and ranks as the 57th driest. Snowfall averaged 17.7", which is 10.6" above normal and ranks at the 8th snowiest January on record.

An Active Pattern: December and 2013 Annual Summary

January 1, 2014 - 12:00am -- Dave Robinson

Snowfall totals map from December 8th

The final month of 2013 proved to be a rather volatile one in the weather department. A smorgasbord of conditions included biting cold, record warmth, four snow events, and several soaking rainstorms. The statewide average temperature of 36.2° was 0.6° above normal, making it the 46th mildest December dating back 119 years to 1895. Not only were there major day-to-day fluctuations in temperature, as on several occasions temperatures varied by more than 40° from north to south Jersey. Precipitation in the form of rain and melted snow averaged 4.91" across NJ. This is 1.00" above normal and is the 26th wettest on record. Snowfall averaged 9.2", which is 4.3" above normal and the 31st snowiest December.

A December Warm Spell for the Record Books

December 24, 2013 - 12:00am -- Dave Robinson

Temperature map

It wasn't just chestnuts that were roasting in New Jersey several days before Christmas this year. In fact it may be that coal noses on rapidly shrinking snowmen were igniting as a snowy spell from the 8th to 18th quickly transitioned to some unusually warm conditions.

Woodbine (Cape May County), Toms River (Ocean), and Berkeley Township (Ocean) shared top honors on Sunday the 22nd when the thermometer topped out at 73°. Maximum temperatures reached from 70° to 72° at 22 of the 55 NJ Weather and Climate Network stations. Only High Point Monument (Sussex), Hope (Warren), and Harvey Cedars (Ocean) managed to stay out of at least the 60s on the 22nd, with all three locations reaching 59°. Daily records were established at a number of long-term observing stations. For instance highs at Newark (Essex) on the 21st and 22nd of 64° and 71° beat former daily records by 3° and 6°, respectively.

Winter 2013/14: Round One

December 18, 2013 - 12:00am -- Dave Robinson

NASA MODIS satellite imagery

Following a mild six days of December, when a number of locations approached or exceeded the 50° mark for highs, the bottom fell out of the thermometer. From the 7th through the 18th most of the northern half of the state failed to reach 40°, while southern locations only saw milder highs on the 14th, early on the 15th, and on the 17th. This includes the first sub-zero observation of the winter, when -1° was reached at Walpack (Sussex County) on the 17th and again on the 18th.

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